Handicapping the NFL always seems early in the beginning, and after a few weeks, most people’s sports betting accounts are on tilt. Well, we’re here to give you a few tips that will help you come out on top. Have a read as we talk about 2020 NFL season handicapping.
Remember, as with any sport, the NFL is a marathon, not a sprint. And despite the historic abnormalities to this year’s lineup of sports, the NFL will play on sans crowds and with masks and mandatory COVID-19 tests.
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But you, the loyal bettor, will still have a good time cashing. Here are some of the top things to keep in mind when you’re looking at 2020 NFL Season handicapping.
Be a Contrarian in Week 1
There is an old wisdom in sports betting that “fading the public” is always a winning strategy. Well, the “always” part isn’t correct, but the wisdom still comes in handy for bettors looking to find a profitable strategy that will keep most bettors honest.
This is essential to keep in mind when making your football wagers, especially in the early goings of the season. Why? Because no one has any idea what’s going on.
This is the first NFL season in a while where teams didn’t even play a snap of preseason football. This means that no one has any inkling of an idea of what to expect, which means that bettors should be looking for games that are just off. Let us say this, 2020 NFL Season handicapping will NOT be easy.
Tight lines, unusually large spreads, or odd matchups are games that are healthy candidates for betting on a team opposite what the average bettor would be taking. This year’s Week 1 is full of games that don’t exactly jump off the screen, but the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens game is a great example of a game that would constitute a prime fading the public situation.
The Browns are a road dog, getting +8.5, so this game will be a favorite of betters teasing down the Ravens and throwing them in parlays. Now, we’re not saying the Ravens lose this game, but we really like the Browns in this spot. They are worth a play.
Rookie Quarterback Bets
Betting on rookie quarterbacks isn’t always a profitable decision, but this year, there is one Week 1 opportunity to bet on a rookie. One thing bettors love about this time of the year are the expanded betting options that are available. Don’t limit yourself.
The Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Cincinnati Bengals at home. The Bengals are catching three points as a home underdog, and it will be first overall pick Joe Burrow’s first NFL game.
Burrow, of LSU fame, will undoubtedly get a lot of tickets coming his way, but given that some first-game-for-rookie bets often play out negative in the opposite direction, don’t be surprised if Burrow has himself an awful game.
But there are also those who think Burrow is prime for a breakout the likes of which we haven’t seen.
We, however, are not so convinced. Take the Chargers -3 and sit back and watch Burrow’s introduction to a not-so-easy league. We do like the long-term prospects for Burrow, but we think he’s going to be humbled in his very first game.
These are just two angles to consider in a very long NFL season, but we’re confident they’ll serve you well. Happy betting!